Happy Martin Luther King Day! Let's fake gamble! That's what I call an intro!
Dallas Mavericks (-5) OVER DETROIT PISTONS (-110)
Dirk is back. Tyson Chandler is back. I am not impressed with Detroit's wins over Toronto and Sacramento. Dallas has been excellent on the road this season (with Dirk). Those are all logical arguments. But mostly this pick makes a Pistons game watchable for more than the possibility that Tayshaun Prince will punch John Kuester in the face.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (-7) OVER New Jersey Nets (-110)
The Nets are struggling. It's possible that Brook Lopez infected the team with his leftover mono but it appears to be more of a case of Sasha Vujacicitis. Nasty stuff, that. Golden State has been playing well at home and has sweet jerseys. That's good enough for me.
Oklahoma City Thunder (+4.5) OVER LOS ANGELES LAKERS (-110)
Am I making like Harry Potter here and getting my anti-jinx on? Potentially. But the Lakers have struggled matching up with athletic teams this year and the Thunder are all about the running and the jumping and the dunking. While the Lakers have 30 wins this season, the best of these was a solid home victory over the Knicks. Not exactly worldbeaters, here.
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
Season Locks: 8-5-1
Showing posts with label Gambling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gambling. Show all posts
January 17, 2011
December 18, 2010
Sitting On The Lock Of The Bay
Miami Heat (-12.5) OVER WASHINGTON WIZARDS (-110)
And then there was one. Seriously. I'm pretty sure that's how many players the Wizards will be dressing tonight. No John Wall or Yi. Gilbert Arenas was traded for Rashard Lewis, who won't be ready to suit up, yet. Andray Blatche and Josh Howard are questionable and will be limited, at best. But even if all these guys were healthy, the Heat should still win this game by 20. They have won their last eleven games and ten of those victories were by double-figures. Ten of those victories also came against teams better than the Wizards. Those seem like pretty good odds to me. So good, that in an alternate universe that may or may not be exactly like this universe, I may have put real money on this game and ensured a dramatic Wizards victory (okay...cover). Party hard, D.C!
Previous Locks (12/6): 1-1-1
Season Locks: 8-4-1 (up $36.50)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
And then there was one. Seriously. I'm pretty sure that's how many players the Wizards will be dressing tonight. No John Wall or Yi. Gilbert Arenas was traded for Rashard Lewis, who won't be ready to suit up, yet. Andray Blatche and Josh Howard are questionable and will be limited, at best. But even if all these guys were healthy, the Heat should still win this game by 20. They have won their last eleven games and ten of those victories were by double-figures. Ten of those victories also came against teams better than the Wizards. Those seem like pretty good odds to me. So good, that in an alternate universe that may or may not be exactly like this universe, I may have put real money on this game and ensured a dramatic Wizards victory (okay...cover). Party hard, D.C!
Previous Locks (12/6): 1-1-1
Season Locks: 8-4-1 (up $36.50)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
December 6, 2010
Chock Full of Lock
One place, three picks, no mention of the Lakers (after this). Surely this must mean three locks.
ORLANDO MAGIC (-6.5) over Atlanta Hawks (-110)
Orlando is (much) better. They are playing at home. Their loss of Jameer Nelson is not as important as Joe Johnson's injury for the Hawks. Dwight Howard is going to do silly things while disregarding Isaac Newton and his ridiculous law of gravitation. It's Magic, you know.
Miami Heat (-5.5) over MILWAUKEE BUCKS (-110)
The Bucks have Andrew Bogut back and Brandon Jennings should run through the Heat's defense like it's a field of dandelions. AccuScore thinks this game is a toss-up. It's not going to be close. The Legion rolls over mediocre teams. And Milwaukee is decidedly mediocre.
Miami Heat/Milwaukee Bucks OVER 15 points being the largest lead of the game (-115)
See above.
Previous Locks (11/30): 2-1
Season Locks: 7-3 (up $37.50)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
ORLANDO MAGIC (-6.5) over Atlanta Hawks (-110)
Orlando is (much) better. They are playing at home. Their loss of Jameer Nelson is not as important as Joe Johnson's injury for the Hawks. Dwight Howard is going to do silly things while disregarding Isaac Newton and his ridiculous law of gravitation. It's Magic, you know.
Miami Heat (-5.5) over MILWAUKEE BUCKS (-110)
The Bucks have Andrew Bogut back and Brandon Jennings should run through the Heat's defense like it's a field of dandelions. AccuScore thinks this game is a toss-up. It's not going to be close. The Legion rolls over mediocre teams. And Milwaukee is decidedly mediocre.
Miami Heat/Milwaukee Bucks OVER 15 points being the largest lead of the game (-115)
See above.
Previous Locks (11/30): 2-1
Season Locks: 7-3 (up $37.50)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
November 30, 2010
It's 5 O'LOCK Somewhere
Real (basketball) talk coming up later tonight. But to tide you over, here are some more hypothetical picks that will surely go wrong.
Los Angeles Lakers (-5.5) over MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (-110)
Xavier Henry on Kobe Bryant? That sounds nice. The Lakers have now lost two in a row and have lost three in a row just once since Pau Gasol donned the forum blue and gold? That also sounds nice (though really has no effect on this game). Really, this is a homer pick and a blatant disregard of the powers of the jinx. If it goes wrong, I'll never make the same mistake again. Note: This pick is not valid if Tony Allen starts at shooting guard. If I had actual money on the game, I would be sure to check the starting lineups right before gametime but probably won't.
San Antonio Spurs (-4.5) over GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (-110)
Did you know that the Warriors have only lost once when David Lee plays? Lee for MVP! Unfortunately for the Warriors, the Spurs have only lost twice all season. They'll see your Curry, Ellis and Lee and raise you with Parker, Ginobili and Duncan. Now if only the Spurs can somehow contain Dan Gadzuric...
Previous Locks (11/26): 2-1
Season Locks: 5-2 (up $28.50)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
Los Angeles Lakers (-5.5) over MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (-110)
Xavier Henry on Kobe Bryant? That sounds nice. The Lakers have now lost two in a row and have lost three in a row just once since Pau Gasol donned the forum blue and gold? That also sounds nice (though really has no effect on this game). Really, this is a homer pick and a blatant disregard of the powers of the jinx. If it goes wrong, I'll never make the same mistake again. Note: This pick is not valid if Tony Allen starts at shooting guard. If I had actual money on the game, I would be sure to check the starting lineups right before gametime but probably won't.
San Antonio Spurs (-4.5) over GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (-110)
Did you know that the Warriors have only lost once when David Lee plays? Lee for MVP! Unfortunately for the Warriors, the Spurs have only lost twice all season. They'll see your Curry, Ellis and Lee and raise you with Parker, Ginobili and Duncan. Now if only the Spurs can somehow contain Dan Gadzuric...
Previous Locks (11/26): 2-1
Season Locks: 5-2 (up $28.50)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
November 26, 2010
I am a Lock, I am an Island
Can you bank on these picks? Kobe Bryant thinks so. Celebrity endorsement! You'll see why below...
Oklahoma City (-1) over INDIANA PACERS (-105)
Sure, Indiana is at home. Sure, they have a far superior point differential. Sure, they just manhandled the Legion of Doom behind Brandon Rush and T.J. Ford (of all people). Sure, John Hollinger just wrote a piece declaring that the Pacers may be more likely to make the playoffs. I spit on these facts. And then I stick my tongue out at them. I'm not talking an MJ-type tongue wave. I'm going back to the third grade and putting the scorn (and immaturity) on full throttle. The Thunder are now healthy and a better basketball team. And they're 5-1 on the road. And as of tip-off, Kevin Durant has not been traded to the Pacers.
Kobe Bryant OVER 25.5 points (-115)
Kobe has spent the last three years torching Utah. He gets to go against nemesis Raja Bell. He is averaging 25.3 points per game in limited minutes and should play more tonight because it will be a close game. And most importantly, he is due for a game where I want to throw things at the television because he is shooting too much. Bad for the Lakers. Bad for my television. Good for his point total.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS (-4.5) over Dallas Mavericks (-105)
I am a hater. I hate the Mavericks. I don't think Tyson Chandler is any good. I think Caron Butler and Shawn Marion are as redundant as they are washed-up. Even though the Mavericks internal statistics show that Jason Kidd is the best player in the history of basketball, I think he is old and slow and old. Dirk's hair looks stupid cut short. Even Birdman thinks DeShawn Stevenson has weird tattoos. Spurs win. The hate continues.
Previous Locks (11/24): 2-0
Season Locks: 3-1 (up $19.00)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
Oklahoma City (-1) over INDIANA PACERS (-105)
Sure, Indiana is at home. Sure, they have a far superior point differential. Sure, they just manhandled the Legion of Doom behind Brandon Rush and T.J. Ford (of all people). Sure, John Hollinger just wrote a piece declaring that the Pacers may be more likely to make the playoffs. I spit on these facts. And then I stick my tongue out at them. I'm not talking an MJ-type tongue wave. I'm going back to the third grade and putting the scorn (and immaturity) on full throttle. The Thunder are now healthy and a better basketball team. And they're 5-1 on the road. And as of tip-off, Kevin Durant has not been traded to the Pacers.
Kobe Bryant OVER 25.5 points (-115)
Kobe has spent the last three years torching Utah. He gets to go against nemesis Raja Bell. He is averaging 25.3 points per game in limited minutes and should play more tonight because it will be a close game. And most importantly, he is due for a game where I want to throw things at the television because he is shooting too much. Bad for the Lakers. Bad for my television. Good for his point total.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS (-4.5) over Dallas Mavericks (-105)
I am a hater. I hate the Mavericks. I don't think Tyson Chandler is any good. I think Caron Butler and Shawn Marion are as redundant as they are washed-up. Even though the Mavericks internal statistics show that Jason Kidd is the best player in the history of basketball, I think he is old and slow and old. Dirk's hair looks stupid cut short. Even Birdman thinks DeShawn Stevenson has weird tattoos. Spurs win. The hate continues.
Previous Locks (11/24): 2-0
Season Locks: 3-1 (up $19.00)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
November 24, 2010
Call me Joseph Bramah Because I'm A Locksmith
Don't call me that. It's a ridiculous name. But for those of you interested, Bramah was an 18th century locksmith and invented the hydraulic press. Wikipedia, for the win! Onto today's locks (picks)...
Chris Bosh OVER 25.5 Points/Rebounds (+105)
Bosh has averaged about 35 total points/boards over the past 4 games and amassed 21 in only 30 minutes in the Legion's first matchup against the Magic even with a horrendous shooting night. He'll have to play big minutes tonight and some of those will come against Rashard Lewis. Plus, who else is going to rebound for the Legion? Udonis Haslem? Ohhhhhh! Too soon? Certainly not.
Jameer Nelson OVER 13.5 points (-105)
Nelson averages 14.3 ppg for the season and more than 15 when playing at home. He struggled in the first game vs the Legion (like everyone else) but minimal interior defense and poor defensive point guards have made the Legion vulnerable against good point guards. and hell have to score more without Vince Carter.
Previous Locks (11/17): 1-1
Season: 1-1 (If all bets were made to make $10 if successful I am down...$1.00)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
Chris Bosh OVER 25.5 Points/Rebounds (+105)
Bosh has averaged about 35 total points/boards over the past 4 games and amassed 21 in only 30 minutes in the Legion's first matchup against the Magic even with a horrendous shooting night. He'll have to play big minutes tonight and some of those will come against Rashard Lewis. Plus, who else is going to rebound for the Legion? Udonis Haslem? Ohhhhhh! Too soon? Certainly not.
Jameer Nelson OVER 13.5 points (-105)
Nelson averages 14.3 ppg for the season and more than 15 when playing at home. He struggled in the first game vs the Legion (like everyone else) but minimal interior defense and poor defensive point guards have made the Legion vulnerable against good point guards. and hell have to score more without Vince Carter.
Previous Locks (11/17): 1-1
Season: 1-1 (If all bets were made to make $10 if successful I am down...$1.00)
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
November 17, 2010
The (Eddie) House Always Wins (But Not in This Case)
I know what you're thinking. Why would Tony Parker cheat on Eva Longoria? I don't know. But I think we can all agree that this is another mark against the French and that things have been all downhill since they were kind enough to help us out with the whole American Revolution thing. Even more important than continuing to insult the French is the matter of examining Tony Parker's decision making. Not with the basketball in his hands leading the fast break, but with women. Eva Longoria is clearly ranked second on this list of attractive WAGs of athletes while Erin Barry is (quite generously) given the number five spot.
Certainly Brent Barry's better half
October 29, 2010
This is Definitely a Lock (Stock and Two Smoking Barrels)
I went 1-1 in my previous locks. Miami easily handled the 76ers but the Timberwolves lost to the Tyreke Evans-less Kings. What threw me off? I forgot to take into account the complete incompetency of the Minnesota oraganization. I predicted that Kevin Love would have a big game but he only managed 11 points and 10 rebounds. What's that? He only paid 24 minutes? And Darko and Anthony Tolliver played a combined 52 minutes? Of course they did. With their one point loss, Minnesota did take an early lead for the best odds at drafting number one next summer. Maybe that's the plan. I hear there will be a couple excellent points guards available. KAAHNNNNN! Onto today's picks (once against lines courtesy of Sports Book)...
Magic over LEGION OF DOOM at (+140) and
Cavaliers over RAPTORS at (+150)
Both the away teams are better basketball teams (currently) than their respective hosts. One win out of two and I make a hypothetical profit. My three minutes of research makes this seem like a logical play. Go forth and take it to the bank.
Magic over LEGION OF DOOM at (+140) and
Cavaliers over RAPTORS at (+150)
Both the away teams are better basketball teams (currently) than their respective hosts. One win out of two and I make a hypothetical profit. My three minutes of research makes this seem like a logical play. Go forth and take it to the bank.
October 27, 2010
Lock It Down 10/27
A real post? No. But since the NBA season is all tipped off those (That's right...those. Plural. As in multiple posts. Nice.) will be coming later tonight. I am here to present my hypothetical locks of the night. The hypothetical is included because I have no disposable income and gambling is illegal. But the locks are real. Very real. They say that daily gambling on individual NBA games is just about impossible to turn a profit on. I'm here to prove them wrong (but probably won't). Tonight's picks (lines courtesy of SportsBook)...
Legion of Doom -7.5 over PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Jason Kapono is starting for the 76ers. That's really all the information one needs but I'll go slightly more in-depth. Jrue Holiday and Spencer Hawes won't be able to take advantage of the Legion's weaknesses like Rondo and the Boston frontcourt did last night. Dwyane Wade will play better with a game under his belt. LeBron will be pissed. The 76ers aren't nearly as strong as Boston defensively. Back-to-back games shouldn't be an issue this early in the season. LoD in a rout.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES -3.5 over Sacramento Kings
Tyreke Evans' suspension is the driving force behind this pick. Get it? Cause he was suspended for driving 120 mph? Anyway, I believe in the Timberwolves. Or, at least, I believe that Kevin Love will outplay rookie Demarcus Cousins and that the Kings cannot match up without their best player. It's in Minnesota and I think the Wolves carry over their good play from preseason. At least for a night.
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
Legion of Doom -7.5 over PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Jason Kapono is starting for the 76ers. That's really all the information one needs but I'll go slightly more in-depth. Jrue Holiday and Spencer Hawes won't be able to take advantage of the Legion's weaknesses like Rondo and the Boston frontcourt did last night. Dwyane Wade will play better with a game under his belt. LeBron will be pissed. The 76ers aren't nearly as strong as Boston defensively. Back-to-back games shouldn't be an issue this early in the season. LoD in a rout.
MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES -3.5 over Sacramento Kings
Tyreke Evans' suspension is the driving force behind this pick. Get it? Cause he was suspended for driving 120 mph? Anyway, I believe in the Timberwolves. Or, at least, I believe that Kevin Love will outplay rookie Demarcus Cousins and that the Kings cannot match up without their best player. It's in Minnesota and I think the Wolves carry over their good play from preseason. At least for a night.
"And I was born a ramlin' gamblin' man" Bob Seger in Ramblin' Gamblin' Man
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